Edmonds Election Watch 2011: A tale of two levy surveys
Earlier this week, we received a note from Edmonds City Councilmember Michael Plunkett summarizing the results of a survey on the three city levy proposals, which he sent out to 650 people on his email list. Here they are:
PROPOSITION NO.1: Levy to Help Maintain Current Levels of Service in Public Safety, Parks, and Other City Services
Yes 52 %
No 37 %
Undecided 10 %
No Answer 1 %
PROPOSITION NO.2: Levy for Street Pavement Overlays
Yes 46 %
No 38 %
Undecided 13 %
No Answer 3 %
PROPOSITION NO.3: Levy for Building Maintenance and Park Improvements
Yes 43 %
No 42 %
Undecided 13 %
No Answer 2 %
My Edmonds News also posted a poll on all three levies, with the results shown in the box:
There appears to be more support in Plunkett’s poll for all three levies — general fund, the street overlays and building maintenance levies — when compared to the My Edmonds News poll. But it’s hard to gauge how reflective either of these surveys is of how Edmonds voters are thinking, because they are not scientific in any way.
There were 242 respondent to the My Edmonds News poll, so we thought it would be interesting to know how many people responded to Plunkett’s survey.
Here’s how the email conversation went:
How many total responses did you get? I’d like to compare it to the poll I did on My Edmonds News.
This was non-scientific anyway. I read somewhere you have around 900 subscribers? I have less than that, my email list is around 650.
I am averaging 3,000 unique visitors a day to My Edmonds News right now but so far just a couple of hundred voted in the levy poll. (And mine is unscientific as well.) Can you tell me how many of that 650 voted in the levy poll?
I have already had this discussion with another person about my survey and yours. I don’t know where you are going with this. If you want to criticize my little survey and make assertions about yours you are welcome to do so. This is just a private, political, web-site activity. I’m not going to get into dueling surveys or debate about scientific aspects of polling or into analysis of results. I said in every email and result it’s a non-scientific poll. If you want to do dueling surveys I’m not interested. You or anyone else are free to disregard this private survey. I’ve received a lot of positive feed-back and sent out the results only to those who are on my list so if you or anyone else got the results that’s OK with me. But I’m not a professional researcher (like some in Edmonds purport to be) I’m only a citizen with an interest in the public events in Edmonds.
Michael — my purpose in asking is only this (no hidden agenda) — the results of my survey so far show all three levies failing. Yet your survey shows two of the three passing. I just wanted to talk about the results of both so that people can think about what it might mean themselves. Does that make sense? I’m not in a position to disregard or criticize anything because my survey isn’t scientific either.
Thanks for any help you can provide on the total number of people who responded to yours.
So far, we haven’t heard anything more from Councilmember Plunkett. If he does eventually share his poll numbers, we’ll post them. And for those who are wondering, we ARE on Mr. Plunkett’s email list — this information wasn’t forwarded from someone else.