The April 6 data from the Snohomish Health District give cause for cautious optimism that we may be turning a corner in our local battle with COVID-19.
In the countywide data chart, note yesterday’s steep rise in numbers of recovered cases (green line), while the overall number of cases since the initial outbreak (upper blue line) is showing signs of leveling off.
These trends are reflected and amplified in the lower chart, where yesterday’s number of active cases (total cases since the initial outbreak minus total recovered cases – yellow line) shows the first numerical decrease in the reporting period. Combined with the upward trend in recovered cases (green line) and the downward trend in New Cases per Day (red line), this suggests that we may soon reach the point (possibly today if the trend continues) where the yellow and green lines cross, meaning that Snohomish County residents are recovering from COVID-19 faster than they are falling ill.
So what does all this mean?
Taken as a whole, the numbers show the spread of COVID-19 in Snohomish County is slowing. While yesterday’s data are encouraging, we will need several more days of data to see if these trends are real or just an aberration. While numerous factors can influence these numbers (e.g., testing rates, reporting protocols, sample sizes, etc.), it is a strong indicator that our efforts at social distancing, staying home, closing schools and businesses, hand washing, wearing masks, etc. are having a positive effect.
Keep it up! Together we can beat this thing.
— By Larry Vogel
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The U.S. Surgeon General warned Sunday that this week is “going to be the hardest moment for many Americans in their entire lives.” With nearly 10,000 deaths from COVID-19 in the United States reported already, we know that we will see many more cases and many more deaths in the coming days. We are experiencing terrible loss on a large scale, we are grieving loved ones lost, and we are scared for the health and safety of many others.
We are also experiencing other kinds of loss in our lives. We have canceled or postponed major life events, like weddings and funerals. We have lost jobs. We have missed milestones, like prom, birthday parties, and, soon, graduations. We’re missing important family traditions like Easter or Passover celebrations. We’re missing Spring Break camping trips, trips to see the tulips, vacations. We’re losing money. We’ve canceled plans. We’ve trained for months for athletic events that have been canceled. We looked forward to concerts that aren’t happening. We miss seeing grandkids and grandparents, friends and family. We miss the rhythm of our days and weeks. We miss eating at restaurants, going to the movies, kids’ sports practice and games. We miss comforting routines. We miss that favorite mug we left at work. Any one of these losses would be disappointing, but we are experiencing them all at once.
Some of these losses are temporary. However, the sense of loss we are feeling is real. But we are resilient, and we will emerge from this time of isolation healthy and strong. Maybe we will have learned to work better from home. Maybe we will have used some of that home fitness equipment we have in that closet. Maybe we will have walked more. Maybe we will have had more family meals together. Maybe we will have taught the kids to cook. Maybe we will have learned to use technology to reconnect with people who live far away from us, whom we’ve lost touch with. Maybe we’ll have rested and slept in more. Maybe we will have engaged with the kids’ school work and teachers more. Maybe we will have waved at our neighbors more enthusiastically.
We will have had many losses, but this time of isolation will end because we have all pulled together to stay apart. Remember, physical distancing doesn’t have to become emotional distancing. Find ways to stay connected to those you think about. Send a text, carve out some time to call or video chat, email, write letters, connect on social media — reach out virtually while you can’t visit in person. We need one another more than ever right now.
If you are struggling with anxiety, depression, substance use, or your emotional or mental health at this time, please know that it’s normal and it is okay to get help. The Centers for Disease Control has guidance for coping with the stress of the COVID-19 outbreak.
That being said, when coping becomes difficult, don’t hesitate to explore the services we have available to you in Washington state. The state coronavirus website has resources for your mental health and well-being ranging from crisis to addiction to domestic violence to suicide and depression support and beyond.